Tony Fairfax

The Presidential Trend Tony Fairfax

What if there is a trend that practically no one knows about, yet it once had an impact on everyone in the United States? As unbelievable as it sounds, this is the case. This unique trend has existed in the US voting electorate and has gone unnoticed. Because this major occurrence seems to remain unknown and continue to shape current and future elections, it deserves some type of literary focus and debate. The author, Tony Fairfax, writes about this unique voting pattern that he has discovered, in his book, The Presidential Trend. The book discusses a phenomenon whereby the popular vote for the Democratic candidate for president has increased in a linear and predictable manner. The linear trend, in fact, existed from 1972 to 2000, with the exception of one presidential election. During that same period, the votes for Republican and Independent candidates fluctuated. The trend is so straight and predictable that the popular vote of the Democratic candidates, for the elections of 1992, 1996, and 2000, could have all been determined in 1988 with an accuracy of 99% or better. This uncommon linear pattern is the launching point and focus of most for the book. However, the book ends with asking and addressing several questions, including, "does the trend's past predictability gives insight to future elections, specifically the 2016 presidential election?" The book speaks to this critical question and many more. In the long run, the trend is the basis for a new political theory that took over 10 years to develop and could dramatically alter the way presidential elections are analyzed for many years to come.